Clementina Assiya. Spreadsheet. August 22nd , 2021.
There are two information-related walls that a young company hits while trying to grow. The first wall is what I call ”spreadsheet suffocation.” It is that stage of information sharing pain that causes people to start cussing. Where did you save the Johnson calculations? Who has the orders spreadsheet locked? Where did my new inventory list go? Did someone write over it? There was 2 days work in that spreadsheet!
Rather, back-testing can really only show you what DIDN’T work well in the past, so you can avoid repeating those mistakes, or at least be aware of those risks. Back-testing can never prove something will work best going forward. Also, back-testing will never show you extraordinary events, such as civil unrest, unprecedented government intervention in the markets, inflation, etc. These risks need to have some diversification applied as well and the Forever Portfolio actually considers these risks that spreadsheet-only portfolios do not.
Since, household financial management is equally important to keep track of one’ expenses and income, one should invest proper time and make good efforts to select a spreadsheet that is handy and efficient. While browsing online for these spreadsheets it becomes quite difficult to select the right program that is simple to use and effectively takes care of the financial management.
This is why I find it so absurd when some analyst or pundit claims that an asset like gold is ”worthless” in an investing portfolio because of some biased spreadsheet work they did. I wonder if these people have ever gotten far enough away from their spreadsheets to see how the world markets really work? Having some portfolio insurance like gold around is a really splendid idea. YES, the Forever Portfolio holds gold, silver and displays a good record with other assets likes stocks (mainly ETFs), bonds and cash. But what in history suggests this is not a good idea? Show me the flaw! Show me the data? It doesn’t matter what your chart is showed worked best over a particular time period. The fact is that concentrating your bets is dangerous, and sometimes your stocks and bonds don’t payout on your timetable. This is just how life works. I am finding out more each day. Diversifying a little bit is prudent.
There are many such forms that will help you plan and organize your life. The monthly budget spreadsheet is another example of a spreadsheet that will help you to organize your budget for the month. At the end of the month you can go through these spreadsheets and analyze as to what is eating up most of your expenses. This can help you to plan and save on the budget for the next month onwards.
Wise financial management is an essential task to do in order to know exactly how to spend money appropriately. Budgeting can be tough for some people while there are those that can do it easily. For the singles, spending money may not always be a problem. But for those who are married and have kids, it may mean spending every dollar requires critical thinking. Whether you are single or married, budgeting is always an advantageous action. It basically makes you reach that status that you are financially equipped for the future. It is absolutely fantastic to think that you have money to draw from your savings account when the need arises particularly if it is very important. You will be able to enjoy your life while not neglecting to keep track your finances.
A lot of portfolio back tests (and their resulting charts) are just silly. Any moron can go into a spreadsheet to find what worked best in the past (especially when cherry picking dates). But it takes some real thinking to work out a strategy that can deal with future unknown risks. You can’t optimize for returns going forward because you don’t know what those returns will be. So anyone designing a portfolio based only on what worked best in the past is making a major tactical error with their investments. A mistake that could destroy a retirement plan.
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