Vafara Naya. Spreadsheet. August 28th , 2021.
A lot of portfolio back tests (and their resulting charts) are just silly. Any moron can go into a spreadsheet to find what worked best in the past (especially when cherry picking dates). But it takes some real thinking to work out a strategy that can deal with future unknown risks. You can’t optimize for returns going forward because you don’t know what those returns will be. So anyone designing a portfolio based only on what worked best in the past is making a major tactical error with their investments. A mistake that could destroy a retirement plan.
Rather, back-testing can really only show you what DIDN’T work well in the past, so you can avoid repeating those mistakes, or at least be aware of those risks. Back-testing can never prove something will work best going forward. Also, back-testing will never show you extraordinary events, such as civil unrest, unprecedented government intervention in the markets, inflation, etc. These risks need to have some diversification applied as well and the Forever Portfolio actually considers these risks that spreadsheet-only portfolios do not.
These Budget spreadsheets are provided together with budget software. Going over it is easy particularly because such kind of software is created so that any person can use it easily. Couples with kids or not, a single person who does not have a knowledge about management accounting and young people who want to learn about how to effectively manage their money are some of the people that a budget software can be useful. Thus, it is worth it to purchase such an item and get a start on wise management of finances.
There are other ways to import data into your database, including using Web forms or setting up a special email inbox that will post the information automatically. These tasks will take some skill and some HTML knowledge, however. Other tools require more programming skill to do what Trackvia does with a few mouse clicks, or are more cumbersome to manipulate, or don’t have the automatic defaults that make setup as easy as Trackvia. Did I mention the cost? $10 per month per user. This includes an unlimited number of databases and up to a GB of attachment storage (meaning that you aren’t charged for the actual records themselves that are stored). If you sign up before October 1 for an account, the company will give you several additional features free.
What I liked most about our ”Forever” Portfolio is that it eliminates most risk. As a lifelong entrepreneur, I really believe that after 40 years of trading and investing, I understand the nature of the unknown and investing RISK. It’s not about going into a spreadsheet, hand picking some dates and blend of assets to see what did best, and then going out and buying those investments. If investing were that easy we’d all be filthy rich!
Ideally a spreadsheet should take into consideration the budget schedule based on one’s salary dates and due dates for bill payment. It should also include other income such as bonuses, business profits, commissions, interests. The other important items on the list are monthly grocery needs, utility bills, home maintenance, maintenance of car or any other vehicle, entertainment, personal expenditure. Once the sorting of income and expenses is done make a column that indicate projected amount and another that gives actual amount for both income and expenditure. This way one can keep track of the actual amount of expenditure that is taking place and try to balance funds.
Such a budget spreadsheet may be prepared on either a daily, weekly or monthly basis - dependent on your business’ needs. A personal budget spreadsheet defines an intended purpose or goal for a set period and is adhered to as a benchmark for actual income and expenditure figures. Such a budget should be included in a business plan as a comprehensive example of expected future earnings and expenses. This expresses the viability and sustainability of the project and allows potential investors to ascertain whether or not it would be a valid investment to make.
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